I think FCx has some interesting features. But I don’t think I’ll get a paying job on it in the next 18 months.
Smoke stands more of a chance, as does PPro.
I suspect my breakdown for the next 12 months (same market as Neil) will be:
Avid: 60% steady
IPEdit: 25% and growing
FCP7: 15% and shrinking
Tape: 0% sunk without trace
Smoke: 0% no sign of interest yet (would be a better fit than Avid for a promo department)
PPro: 0% no sign of interest yet (but Adobe are keen)
FCx: 0% no sign of interest yet