Failing so hard

[Shane Ross]

It is also the most expensive app in the apple store. And there are a lot of iMovie people who want more than iMovie has to offer.

Good for them. They gave the masses the NLE they wanted.

Shane
Little Frog Post
Read my blog, Little Frog in High Def

[Brian Mulligan]

[Shane Ross] “Good for them. They gave the masses the NLE they wanted”

Now the rest of the world just needs to move on. Use it or don’t, but the FCP zealots just need to let it go.

Brian Mulligan
Senior Editor – Autodesk Smoke
WTHR-TV Indianapolis,IN, USA
Twitter: @bkmeditor

[Frank Gothmann]

You mean the very same app store that removed negative reviews when the app first came out and then reset the ratings after the upgrade came out?
Not my most trusted source for how the app is doing.

[Rafael Amador]

[Ben Holmes] “Just had to pop in to say that FCPX appears to be the second highest grossing app on the store only behind Lion.”
That’s because they do not sell FCS3.

And anyway, where are, or what are doing the new FCPX users?
I don’t know if the traffic in the COW is a good indicator of an application acceptance, bu
the FCPX Techniques Forum looks like a sad party (some 4 new posts per day, half of them with c) while the funeral of the extinct FCP keeps a great ambience.
To my amazement seems that the release of FCPX and the special offers for PP and AVID have done but increasing the appreciation for such a great application.

rafael

http://www.nagavideo.com

[Craig Seeman]

Developers like good market penetration if they think users will by their plugins and hardware. With that will come the Pro market as happened with FCP legacy.

I suspect there will be an “uptick” with the next FCPX but time will tell. It may not be the same market share as FCP7 but it will be enough to move some people, especially new people entering the NLE market doing professional work (much of it is NOT Broadcast or Feature Film which is a very small market).

[Franz Bieberkopf]

Ben,

I don’t know whether you’ve misread this forum deliberately or by casual blindness, but the debate has not been about whether or not FCPX will sell – it is about who will buy and what sort of impact it may or may not have.

But, the App Store is a pretty poor source of information – how many licenses have they sold? Who is buying? How are they using it? (Incidentally, where I am, FCPX is outranked by iMovie at 15.00.)

You probably missed Craig Seeman‘s calculations a while back but by his guestimate sketch the number was around half a million.

Franz.

[Craig Seeman]

[Franz Bieberkopf] “You probably missed Craig Seeman’s calculations a while back but by his guestimate sketch the number was around half a million.”

Yes, by comparing known Lion sales and price relative to the ranking of FCPX sales and price since both are sold through the App Store only.

FCP (legacy) market share I believe was estimated at just over 2 million but it’s not clear if that included FCE and those who did not upgrade vs those who did from earlier versions.

It seems that FCPX may have around 1/4 quarter the market share but given its newness it’s still a healthy enough portion of the market to interest third party developers.

My own hunch is that the next major release early next year will be telling along with any new Computers Apple may release.

[Walter Soyka]

[Craig Seeman] “It seems that FCPX may have around 1/4 quarter the market share but given its newness it’s still a healthy enough portion of the market to interest third party developers.”

Do you think it was a lack of third-party interest that has been holding back third-party development?

I haven’t gotten the sense that Apple has made development easy (or even possible in some cases).

Walter Soyka
Principal & Designer at Keen Live
Motion Graphics, Widescreen Events, Presentation Design, and Consulting
RenderBreak Blog – What I’m thinking when my workstation’s thinking
Creative Cow Forum Host: Live & Stage Events

[Franz Bieberkopf]

[Craig Seeman] “It seems that FCPX may have around 1/4 quarter the market share …”

… of which market?

I think you mean it has around a quarter the sales.

Franz.

[Christian Schumacher]

Why not rename this forum to “The Dead Sea Scrolls”, then?
All the zealots could scribe about ancient ideas for the future generations. Hidden here, into the Qumran caves, they would praise how good the old times were and how things used to work back in day of the past ruling.
Simply rename the Bug Techniques to FCPX, and all the paradigm-shifters would embrace the new order, while watching their temple being burnt down and so these can pray for rebuilding a better and eternal one, forever.