Bob Zelin is right…..The End Is Near!

[Brett Sherman]

[Neil Goodman] “Do you think television is going to disappear in ten years? 20 years? I dont. I havent seen any sort of down trend in the field of work I do.”

It depends on what you mean by “television”. Will local television in mid to small markets be a viable business model in 20 years? Quite frankly they can probably make more money selling their spectrum.

Will cable television exist in it’s current structure in 20 years? Maybe not. I think currently we’re at a transition period where both traditional cable television and streaming television coexist. I don’t think it’s going to last long like this. I think Cable TV will have a day of reckoning before too long. They won’t be able to flood the channels with crap to catch channel flippers. And they won’t be able to rely on that monthly fee they get regardless of whether anyone wants it or not.

When it comes down to it, will anyone pay for Honey Boo Boo?

Of course there will be jobs in post production. But will there be as many traditional TV jobs? I wouldn’t count on it.

[David Roth weiss]

[Brett Sherman] ”
Of course there will be jobs in post production. But will there be as many traditional TV jobs? I wouldn’t count on it.
“

And, will those jobs pay enough for a person to maintain a middle class existence? The quality of life a career can provide is much more important than how many jobs there might be, and that’s what all the young guys here seem to ignore.

Meanwhile, hi Brett, it’s good to see ya. Hope that your server is still serving you well. 🙂

David Roth Weiss
Director/Editor/Colorist & Workflow Consultant
David Weiss Productions
Los Angeles

David is a Creative COW contributing editor and a forum host of the Apple Final Cut Pro forum.

[Andrew Kimery]

The future isn’t totally rainbows nor is it totally storm clouds. Old avenues are going away but new ones are opening up. Sure, maybe the day rate heyday some of the older guys experienced is gone forever but that doesn’t mean making a living wage is out of the question. I see a number of job ads in LA that land around the $1500/wk mark and that works out to about $75k/year which is around $20k higher than the median household income in LA. Sure, for a lot of guys used to making six figures that $75k number is low, but it’s not exactly poverty line.

DRW, I’ll take your bet. I’m going to squirrel away $100 a year for the next 10yrs that says I’m still in post production when 01/13/26 rolls around.

-Andrew