Your conclusion is similar to my thinking. If software is a drop in the bucket in relation hardware sales, then again, I wouldn’t be surprised to see FCPx free with the purchase of a new MacPro. Those without a new MacPro can still purchase at the $299 price. Even if it’s for a limited time offer. And why not Logic and other more Pro apps? It would justify whatever price they might apply – unknown how many versions there will be, but perhaps with the top model? And of course, it’s the perception of free… you’ll pay for it one way or another. 🙂
Apple does what Apple does – only taking precedence and applying it to yet to be released new hardware and seeing if it makes sense or not.
Just like I wouldn’t be surprised, (and glad that it hasn’t), that the only way to add plug-ins to FCPx would be through the App Store forcing developers to give up 30% of their revenue. Because “it is the refined and expected Apple experience…” But I’d have to think it’s been discussed.
Just thinking out loud…
Michael