I’m betting that the 2nd generation HD XDCAM is going to be not only an F900 killer, but really hurt Varicam also. This 2/3″ camera will use our existing lenses unlike the 1/2″ version now coming out and will also do variable frame rates at 1080. At that point I see no value in shooting 720 anymore. We all know it’s a bit of a stretch (pun intended) to move from 720P to 1080P but the reverse is quite simple and costs you no image degradation in order to service ABC, Fox, ESPN type 720 clients. All of my existing clients love the idea of the optical disk over the P2 or hard drive solutions promoted out there now. They recoil in horror at the idea of erasing camera original footage like in the P2 workflow, plus the optical disk is as cheap as most SD media and cheaper than HDCAM tape, and is automatically a perfect archive media.
The 2/3″ HD XDCAM will obsolete my F900 in a couple of ways as I see it.
First, it’s selling price (rumour has it in the mid $40K range)will allow 1080P rental prices to drop down into the Varicam and even DigiBeta levels that clients like. Secondly, at even 50mbps data rate – MPEG (being from 2X to 2.5X as efficient as DCT compression used by Varicam and HDCAM)has a theoretical equivalent DCT data rate of at least 100mbps to 125mbps which rivals both DVCPRO100 and HDCAM. The maximum data rate allowed by BluRay double-density is 72mbps, and it’s anybody’s guess where the camera will end up – somewhere between 50 – 70mbps. So the image quality will be at DVCPRO100 level and possibly even HDCAM level, plus with a true 4:2:2 color space, it might end up being the best solution for blue/green screen work over the F900’s 3:1:1 color.
The HD XDCAM NLE feeder decks will be affordable to migrate to. The single layer (1/2″ HD XDCAM) feeders are listing at below $10K.
Finally, the MXF wrapper will put 1080P HDCAM quality footage into your NLE at storage overhead costs below DVCPRO100. Avid and FCP should be announcing at NAB full support for the MXF file format.
I’ve owned cameras so long that changing them out is a natural progression (remember our tube cameras Dusty?). I still upgrade my computer a couple of times a year so it’s not that bad, but still, with all the improvements made now one has to stay as ahead of the curve as possible. Besides, how much more fun can you have than to be shooting with a new and better camera system every few years? That’s why I love being a photographer.
If I’ve portrayed any of this incorrectly, I’m sure someone will step up and correct my errors.
Bruce Schultz