I think you have to first define what “filmmaking” is. If you mean Hollywood, that’s a very small and regimented market and the chances of breaking into that from the outside are slim to none. You either work your way up into that industry or you don’t.
The commonly referenced exceptions, like Kevin Smith or the guys who did “Blairwitch” ages ago are outliers – flukes – people who worked hard at a shot and got it. Those types of options still exist through Netflix and many other outlets. But – and this is a big but – you have to separate making money with following your passion. I’ve worked on tons of indie films – nearly all of which have enjoyed some level of distribution – and I doubt that any of the principal investors and creators ever made money off of them.
If you want to make a living and you want to be creative, then there seem to be two options these days. The first – and generally an unconventional route – is to produce your own creative projects and find an outlet for them somehow. This can range from something like being an “influencer” to doing your own films and docs, such as what Gary Hustwit does (“Helvetica,” “Objectified,” “Rams” and others).
The second, more conventional route is to work in commercial/corporate media. Many companies pay for sponsored projects that have all the same aspects of high-end filmmaking, but you will actually get paid and make a living.
So is the industry changing? Yes. Do you have possibilities for the future? Absolutely!
– Oliver
Oliver Peters – oliverpeters.com