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This time next year…
… where will we be?
Apple are ironing out the bugs in FCPX now.
Adobe have perfectly timed their subscription model to coincide with general consensus (even amongst the Avid Community over here in UK) that FCPX is not just iMovie on steroids.
Avid future appears uncertain but I do not think mainstream broadcast community are likely to abandon ship anytime soon (and if they do I would think they might go Quantel?)
So … will Andreas be proved wrong and FCPX reestablish market share?
… or will Adobe rule the roost?
Where will the broadcasters be headed?
How will the “grid positions” have changed in September 2015?
Thoughts?
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39 Replies
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I have no plans to abandon Final Cut Pro X or Motion anytime soon. I am keeping an eye on what the Blackmagic Design team does with Fusion. If the price is right and there is very good integration between Resolve and Fusion, I might consider gradually moving over to Fusion but still keep FCP X and Motion handy.
I am now considering using Resolve as an editor and for color grading. After all, the tools are excellent to mention trimming and keyframing is much better. Add to that, some of the functionally from Final Cut Pro 7 and versions prior have been added into the mix. The ability to have a swap edit or apply a default transition to multiple clips at the same time with a simple keyboard shortcut is just super duper awesome.
For finishing, I will continue to rely on FCP X and Motion. Despite no “Send To Motion” option, there is still plenty to be excited about. Creating custom transitions, generators, titles and effects is not only a time and money saver but it is super duper fun!
I might even use Fusion to process still images and enhance photos for post-production and editing. Really like the concept of node based compositing though I would use Motion for motion graphics and stuff like that.
I am even considering doing stop motion type of work for a show open or title sequence. Even going the use minimalist type of motion graphics. Guess that makes me the “less is more” type of person.
I might rent Photoshop from time to time if necessary but not go long term. I might even add Acorn just to avoid subscription only scenario.
Sorry for the somewhat long post but those are my thoughts and hope it adds to the discussion. Love to hear to any feedback or opinions.
Cheers!
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I think FCP X’s position in the market will depending on what effort and functionality Apple put into it. We’ve seen it’s utility grow as things like broadcast monitoring, RED workflow, multi cam, and most recently file management have been integrated or improved.
I do sense within the community that people are looking forward to updates and improvements to the weak areas of the software- most notably audio. This is still the biggest sticking point for many. Both in how it’s organized in the timeline and in the editing and mixing tools that are available. People will know I’ve had thoughts on this.
As it’s functionality grows, I think we’ll see it continue to penetrate more markets. While I think there will still be people who ultimately leave Legacy Final Cut to go to Adobe or AVID, I think we’ve passed the nadir of FCP X angst.
Apple will get out what they put into it. I think we’d all like to see more concerted PR and engagement. AVID and Adobe really shine in both these cases.
But with the way things have been changing at Apple over the last year or so, I’ll hope that some of the traditional PR boundaries will erode a bit, as Apple realizes it doesn’t need to be as secretive with proApps as with the more consumer-oriented parts of it’s business.
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Should I consider Resolve as a pure long form editing tool?
This time last year I was looking at Smoke.
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The reports I’ve had from people I trust is that they’re on a great track but not there yet.
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[James Ewart] “Should I consider Resolve as a pure long form editing tool?
“I would say no, it is in no way mature enough
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Aindreas has been proved wrong with every negative speculation he has made about FCP X so far, and this trend will continue in 2015 (-:
– Ronny
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[Marcus Moore] “The reports I’ve had from people I trust is that they’re on a great track but not there yet.”
I have R11 on a brand new, totally tricked out Mac Pro and the playback performance is awful. I like the product and will keep learning it, but it’s a long long way from being an every day, heavy-lifting editor. FCPX is far ahead of it.
Scott Witthaus
Senior Editor/Post Production Supervisor
1708 Inc./Editorial
Professor, VCU Brandcenter -
I doubt there will be significant change over the next 12 months. FCP 7 users will continue to slowly migrate to X, PPro or Avid. Resolve and Lightworks will continue to try and move from dark horse to viable option status.
I just don’t see any breakout moves happening.
For me personally I’m going to keep on keepin’ on which means using whatever NLE fits. So far in 2014 that’s been FCP 7, PPro and Avid.
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I don’t expect Apple PR to change soon with regard to FCP X. They don’t do big announcements and fancy-fairs, but their biggest strength is in the tremendous behind-the-scenes support they are giving. I have had very pleasant experiences with this in the past year. They are really listening to their user-base, and as a professional that’s the best PR you can have.
– Ronny
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I had an interest in Smoke but it is a bit expensive and has a steep learning curve. I hope that Fusion does not get “blended” into Resolve but stays the course as a separate application.
Choppy playback is one reason that Resolve is not considered a full fledged alternative at this point. Hopefully that issue will be addressed in the next version. Otherwise, it looks to be very solid.
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